Offices & contactsTop

The Climate Impacts and Policy (CIP) Division develops the social-economic research of CMCC. This division translates in economic values the analysis of scenario produced by using the dynamic models of climate of the ANS division, and the consequent quantification of the impacts of climate change provided by the ISC and IAFENT divisions. Finally the economic valuation is the base to design the more appropriate policies of mitigation of the emissions and of adaptation to climate change.

Objectives

  • Development the coupling among the economic, climate and land uses models of CMCC
  • Development of GHG emissions scenarios and low carbon scenarios
  • Assessment of the economic value of impacts of climate change at global and regional level
  • Analysis of mitigation and adaptation policies on climate change
  • Integrated risk analysis of extreme events
  • Research and networking activities on governance of climate change
Research unitsTop
  • Economic Assessment of Climate Impacts and Adaptation Policies

    Objectives:

    • Connections between physical impacts (changes in temperature, sea level, extreme events, and so on) and economic activities (production, infrastructures, agriculture and so on)
    • Economic valuation of sector impacts (tourism, energy, health, water resources and so on)
    • Economic valuation of impacts regarding  general economic balance on different geographical scales (effects on international trade, structural changes, technological progress, actions of adaptation and so on)
    • Valuation of adaptation policies and their trade-off with mitigation policies
    • Integrated analysis of risk related to extreme events

    Activities:

    • Economic valuation of climate change impacts at global and regional level

    Research activities on the valuation of long and medium term climate change impacts on the following areas: water resources, agriculture and food security, terrestrial ecosystems, coastal areas and marine ecosystems, human settlements, energy and industry, insurances and other financial services, health.

    • Climate change adaptation policies

    Economic valuation of costs and benefits of climate change adaptation policies. Dynamic analysis of the adaptation capacity of economic systems, at different geographical scales and regarding  different sectors. Assessment of economic investments required to put into practice adaptation policies.

    • Integrated analysis of risk related to extreme events

    Analysis and harmonisation of data and methods to assess risk and impacts connected to extreme events. Valuation of adaptation measures and strategies to reduce risk, also through the creation of networks of research and policy on extreme events and natural disasters.

    • Networking and dissemination

    Networking activities to carry out the communication of research activities on climate change impacts and adaptation policies at national and international level.

  • Integrated Modelling, Low Carbon Scenarios and Mitigation Policies

     Objectives:

    • Endogenous scenarios up to 2100 (economic growth, population dynamics, technological changes and so on)
    • Optimal investment profiles in the field of energy (fossil fuels, renewable, nuclear, CCS and so on)
    • Strategic interdependences between the economic and energy strategies in the world regions
    • Integrations between present economic decisions and future climate damages
    • Definition of short and long term best strategies to control the greenhouse gas effects
    • Analysis of the dynamics of technological change and related control policies

    Activities:

    • Integrated coupled model between economic models, climatic models and models for the resource exploitation

    Coupling of CMCC economic models with ANS and IAFENT environmental ones, so as to create a full integration between economic and energetic models, models for land-use and resource-exploitation, as well as detailed climatic models. Definition of an integrated communication environment between policy-makers and CMCC partners.

    • Emissions scenarios and low-carbon energetic scenarios

    Development of long term models for outlining emissions scenarios, most effective investment strategies in the energy field and research and development strategies that are required to make a drastic reduction of greenhouse gases, even through the adoption of new energetic resources and new technologies for production and/or use of energy.

    • Optimal mitigation and investment policies in the geographical areas of the world

    Identification of the best mitigation policies and related costs plus benefits in agreement with the participation to international agreements, the pace of diffusion of technical progress in the energetic field, and of optimal investment strategies in the different geographical areas of the world.

    • Networking and dissemination

    Networking activities to carry out the communication of research activities on climate change models and mitigation policies at national and international levels.

Scientific organizationTop

Struttura_DivisioneCIP_set2014

ModelsTop