Climate Simulations and Predictions

The CSP Division contributes to the development of the CMCC climate and earth system models, and uses them to explore and improve our understanding of the mechanisms underpinning climate variability, climate predictability and climate change, by means of numerical simulations. In collaboration with the ODA Division, CSP produces climate change scenarios, contributing to the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP)’s Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) project, to inform the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments and in support of emerging climate service activities. Furthermore, CSP produces operational climate forecasts from seasonal to multi-annual time scales.

CSP Projects

CSP Publications

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation Modulates Tropical Cyclone Days on the Interannual Time Scale in the North Pacific Ocean

Scoccimarro E., G. Villarini, Gualdi S., Navarra A.
2021, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, DOI: 10.1029/2021JD034988, web page


Tropical Cyclone Precipitation in the HighResMIP Atmosphere-only Experiments of the PRIMAVERA Project

W. Zhang, G. Villarini, Scoccimarro E., et al.
2021, Climate Dynamics, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05707-x, web page


Evaluation of trends in extreme temperatures simulated by HighResMIP models across Europe

Squintu, A.A., van der Schrier, G., van den Besselaar, Scoccimarro E., et al.
2021, Climate Dynamics, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05596-6, web page

Division Director

Silvio Gualdi

Division Manager

Loredana Amato

Contacts

via C. Berti Pichat 6/2 – 40127 Bologna, Italy

[email protected]

Research Units

Research Unit Leader
Alessio Bellucci

Description
This unit is devoted to the understanding of the mechanisms underpinning climate predictability at seasonal-to-multi annual time scales. It produces operational seasonal forecasts that are provided to other CMCC divisions and in support of emerging climate services.

Research Unit Leader
Silvio Gualdi

Description
This unit contributes to the development of the CMCC climate and Earth system models, and uses them to explore and improve our understanding of the mechanisms of climate variability and climate change by means of numerical simulations. Furthermore, in collaboration with the ODA Division, it produces the CMCC climate change scenario contributions to the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP)’s Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) project, to inform the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments and in support of emerging climate services.

CMCC_sps

CMCC Seasonal Prediction System

The Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change operates routinely a Global Seasonal Ensemble Prediction System (CMCC-SPS3) based on a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land-Cryosphere Global Model.

Models

  • CMCC Med Model

    The climate model CMCC-Med is a coupled model atmosphere-ocean-sea-ice based on the…


  • CMCC-CM

    The Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici Climate Model CMCC-CM (Scoccimarro et al.…

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