Climate Simulations and Predictions

The CSP Division contributes to the development of the CMCC climate and earth system models, and uses them to explore and improve our understanding of the mechanisms underpinning climate variability, climate predictability and climate change, by means of numerical simulations. In collaboration with the ODA Division, CSP produces climate change scenarios, contributing to the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP)’s Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) project, to inform the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments and in support of emerging climate service activities. Furthermore, CSP produces operational climate forecasts from seasonal to multi-annual time scales.

CSP Projects

  • HIGHLANDER - High performance computing to support smart land services

    Through the use of High Performance Computing, HIGHLANDER will make it possible…


  • C3S_34c - Prototype Service for decadal climate predictions

    The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) currently includes operational predictions for seasonal…


  • CSP Publications

    Heavy precipitation events over East Africa in a changing climate: results from CORDEX RCMs

    Ogega O., Kung’u F., Koske J., Scoccimarro E., Endris H., Mistry M.
    2020, Climate Dynamics, Vol 55, pages 993–1009, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05309-z, web page


    Influence of model resolution on bomb cyclones revealed by HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA

    Jiaxiang G., Minobe S., Roberts M.J., Haarsma R.J., Putrasahan D., Roberts C.D., Scoccimarro E., Terray L., Vannière B., Vidale P.L.
    2020, Environmental Research Letters, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab88fa, web page


    Inter-disciplinary Regional Collaboration for Public Health Adaptation to Climate Change in the Eastern Mediterranean

    Hochman A., Alpert P., Baldi M., Bucchignani E., Coppola E., Dahdal Y., Davidovitch N., Georgiades P., Helgert S., Khreis H., Levine H., Materia S., Negev M., Salah I., Shaheen M., Giorgi F.
    2020, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0065.1, web page

    Division Director

    Silvio Gualdi

    Division Manager

    Loredana Amato

    Contacts

    via C. Berti Pichat 6/2 – 40127 Bologna, Italy

    loredana.amato@cmcc.it

    Research Units

    Research Unit Leader
    Alessio Bellucci

    Description
    This unit is devoted to the understanding of the mechanisms underpinning climate predictability at seasonal-to-multi annual time scales. It produces operational seasonal forecasts that are provided to other CMCC divisions and in support of emerging climate services.

    Research Unit Leader
    Silvio Gualdi

    Description
    This unit contributes to the development of the CMCC climate and Earth system models, and uses them to explore and improve our understanding of the mechanisms of climate variability and climate change by means of numerical simulations. Furthermore, in collaboration with the ODA Division, it produces the CMCC climate change scenario contributions to the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP)’s Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) project, to inform the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments and in support of emerging climate services.

    CMCC_sps

    CMCC Seasonal Prediction System

    The Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change operates routinely a Global Seasonal Ensemble Prediction System (CMCC-SPS3) based on a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land-Cryosphere Global Model.

    Models

  • CMCC Med Model

    The climate model CMCC-Med is a coupled model atmosphere-ocean-sea-ice based on the…


  • CMCC-CM

    The Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici Climate Model CMCC-CM (Scoccimarro et al.…

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