Presenter: Elisa Lanzi – Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) – Paris
Moderator: Enrica De Cian – CMCC@Ca’Foscari – Venice
With higher population growth and increasing living standards in emerging and developing countries, resource use will continue increasing in the coming decades, with serious consequences for the environment and climate change.
This seminar presents detailed projections of the global economy until 2060 at regional and sectoral scale, with a focus on a plausible evolution of demand systems. It, then, identifies income convergence between countries, structural change, and technology changes as the economic drivers of food, energy and other material use in the future, as well as the associated environmental pressures.
The analysis is based on the ENV-Linkages computable general equilibrium model, which has been enhanced to include material flows for 61 materials for multiple categories: biotic resources (incl. food), fossil fuels, metallic ores and non-metallic minerals.
The seminar draws on the results of the forthcoming OECD’s “Global Material Resources Use Outlook to 2060”, which finds that, in absence of policy action or substantial further life style changes, material extraction in the coming decades will double, as well as an increase in demand for energy, demand for land for crops for food production and emissions of greenhouse gases.
Elisa Lanzi is an Economist at Economy Environment Integration Division of the OECD Environment Department where she works on modeling and outlook for environmental policy analysis. At the OECD she currently works on the economic consequences of policies for a transition to a more resource efficient and circular economy. Previously, she has been working on the economic consequences of air pollution and climate change, on the competitiveness impacts of climate policies, and on climate change adaptation.
Before joining the OECD, she worked at Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) in the modeling team of the Sustainable Development Division, where she focused on the use of computable general equilibrium (CGE) models to assess sustainability and climate policy costs. She owns a PhD in Economics from the University of Venice, a Master in Environmental and Natural Resource Economics from University College London, and a Master of Arts in Economics from the University of St Andrews.
12:30 pm – Welcome and intro – Enrica De Cian, CMCC@Ca’Foscari
12:35 pm – Presenter’s talk – Elisa Lanzi, OECD
13:05 pm – Q&A
01:20 pm – End of webinar
Working language: English
HOW TO PARTICIPATE:
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