NEWPATHWAYS Webinar
17 December 2025, h. 15.00 CET
To join the webinar, register here
Speaker: Mark Dekker, post-doctoral researcher at the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL)
Discussant: Nico Bauer, senior scientist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Moderator: Lara Aleluia Reis, researcher at CMCC
Within the framework of the NEWPATHWAYS Project, CMCC organizes the “Navigating the black box of fair national emissions targets” webinar to shed light on the complexities behind emissions pathways.
Current national emissions targets are recognized as insufficient to meet the Paris Agreement goals, prompting the need for equitable ways to close this gap. Fair emissions allowances rely on effort-sharing formulas based on fairness principles, yielding diverse outcomes. These variations, shaped by normative decisions, complicate policymaking and legal assessments of climate targets. The analysis provides up-to-date numbers, comprehensively accounting for three dimensions—physical and social uncertainties, global strategies and equity—and their impacts on each country’s emissions allowance.
In the short run, normative considerations substantially impact fair emissions allowances—directing current discussions to this debate—while global discussions on temperature targets and non-CO2 emissions take over in the long run. Evidence shows that many countries have insufficient nationally determined contributions in light of fairness, with implications for increased domestic mitigation and financing emissions reductions abroad—yielding a total international finance flux of $US0.5–7.4 trillion in 2030.
HOW TO PARTICIPATE
17 December 2025, 15.00 CET
To join the webinar, register here
ORGANIZED BY:
NEWPATHWAYS Project
Funded by the European Union. Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or the European Climate, Infrastructure and Environment Executive Agency (CINEA). Neither the European Union nor the granting authority can be held responsible for them