Water science on the move: Metastatistics, limits, retooling, invisible structures

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Annual Conference of the Italian Society for Climate Sciences
22 October 2025, h. 11: 30– 12:30 (CEST) | Salerno, Palazzo di Città Teatro Augusteo
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The CMCC Foundation is a partner of the 13th Annual Conference of the Italian Society for Climate Sciences (SISC), taking place on 22–24 October 2025 in Salerno, Italy, at the Municipality of Salerno premises. Among the highlights of the conference, Andrea Rinaldo, engineer, hydrologist and Senior Fellow at the CMCC Foundation, will deliver a keynote talk.

The lecture addresses a selection of recent advances in the field of hydrology that are particularly relevant to the theme of innovation in climate research for societal transformation. It highlights the significance of current rapid changes, which challenge a long-standing principle of hydrologic design: the stationarity of probability distributions. This perspective introduces the concept of metastatistics, emphasizing the limitations of current engineering practices and the need to reconsider reliable tools for defining design probabilities for floods and droughts. As a consequence, future societies will be confronted with forced and unwanted transformations, affecting economic structures, political organizations, legal practices, as well as collective sensitivities and local traditions—the so-called “invisible structures.”

Chair: Monia Santini, Fondazione CMCC



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