High-level Expert Workshop on Climate Adaptation Modelling

TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 8TH, 2020

16.00 – 17.30

High Level Plenary Panel – Challenges and perspectives for European policies on adaptation and disaster resilience

Elena Višnar Malinovská, European Commission, DG CLIMA

The revised EU Adaptation Strategy: challenges and priorities

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Nacira Boulehoua, European Commission, DG ECHO

Overview of natural and man-made disaster risks the European Union may face

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Philippe Tulkens, European Commission, DG RTD

Mission Area on Adaptation to climate change and societal transformation

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WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 9TH, 2020

10.00 – 13.00

Climate Adaptation Modelling Community Workshop

Moderator: Jaroslav Mysiak, Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change

10.05 – 11.05

Sectoral adaptation 1

Agustín Sánchez-Arcilla, University of Catalonia

Hybrid modelling for coastal adaptation

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Edoardo Borgomeo, University of Oxford

Water resource system modelling for climate adaptation

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Hans Sanderson, Aarhus University

Cascading Transitional Climate Risks in the Private Sector – Risks and Opportunities

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Francesca Larosa, Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate

ChangeMaking the business case for climate services

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10.05 – 11.05

Adaptation policy & planning 1

Carlo Giupponi, University Ca’ Foscari of Venice

Operationalizing climate proofing in decision/policy making

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Marc Zebisch, Eurac

Research Climate impact chains – A conceptual modelling approach for climate risk assessment in the context of adaptation planning

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Margarita Ruiz-Ramos, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid

Reducing and managing uncertainty of adaptation recommendations to increase user’s uptake

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Reimund Schwarze, Helmholtz-Centre for Environmental Research

Modelling the cost and benefits of adaptation

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10.05 – 11.05

Integrated modelling 1

Raghav Pant, University of Oxford

Advances in climate adaptation modelling of infrastructure networks

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Thorsten Wagener, University of Bristol

On the evaluation of climate change impact models for adaptation decisions<

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Jana Sillmann, Center for International Climate Research

Cross-sectoral challenges for adaptation modelling

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Frank McGovern, JPI Climate

Adaptation modelling: a JPI Climate perspective

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10.05 – 11.05

Adaptation to climate extremes 1

Bjørn Kalsnes, Norwegian Geotechnical Institute

Use of vegetation for landslide risk mitigation

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Heidi Kreibich, Deutsches Geo Forschungs Zentrum (GFZ)

Dynamic flood risk modelling in human-flood systems

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Marie Scholer, European Insurance and Ocupational Pensions Authority

Climate change adaptation in insurance

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Laurens M. Bouwer, Climate Service Center Germany

The roles of climate risk dynamics and adaptation limits in adaptation assessment

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11.30 – 12.30

Sectoral adaptation 2

Virginia Murray, Public health England

Climate Change Adaptation and Societal Transformation – what are the public health challenges and opportunities?

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Kurt Christian Kersebaum, Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung

Modelling to evaluate climate resilience of crop rotations under climate change

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Dionisio Perez Blanco, University of Salamanca and CMCC

Navigating deep uncertainty in complex human-water systems

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Manuel Pulido-Velazquez, University of Valencia

A top-down meets bottom-up approach for climate change adaptation in water resource system

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11.30 – 12.30

Adaptation policy & planning 2

Timothy Carter, Stefan Fronzek, Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE)

A model-based response surface approach for evaluating climate change risks and adaptation urgency Transformation – what are the public health challenges and opportunities?

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María Máñez Costa, climate Service Center Germany – GERICS Weather and Climate services to support a risk sharing mechanism for adaptation of the agricultural sector.

A theoretical example for drought-prone areas

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Robert Wilby, Loughborough University

Stress-testing adaptation options

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Enrica De Cian, Ca’ Foscari university of Venice and CMCC

Adaptation policy & planning. The blind spot of energy

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11.30 – 12.30

Integrated modelling 2

Piers Forster, University of Leeds

Relationship Between Net Zero Emissions and Adaptation Policy

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Peter Alexander, Almut Arneth, Juliette Maire, University of Edinburgh

A new modelling approach to adaptation-mitigation in the land system

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Roger Street, University of Oxford

Climate services supporting adaptation modelling

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Bart van den Hurk, Deltares

Impact oriented climate information selection

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11.30 – 12.30

Adaptation to climate extremes 2

Filip Lefebre, Flemish Institute for Technological Research

Climate-fit City: urban climate data and services

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Óscar Manuel Ferreira, Universidade do Algarve

Modelling risk reduction measures to minimise future impacts of storms at coastal areas

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Jeffrey Neal, University of Bristol

Recent innovations in flood hazard modelling over large data sparse regions

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BJantsje Mol, Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University

Climate adaptation by homeowners

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14.00 – 15.30

Hands-on tutorials

Antonio Trabucco, Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change

Using fast scripts for forest fire vulnerabilitys

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Dennis Wagenaar, Deltares

Using fast scripts to visualise coastal flood risks

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Paola Mercogliano, Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change

Using fast scripts to calculate heat stress

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Kees van Ginkel, Deltares

Demonstrating the use of the adaptation pathway generator

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16.00 – 17.30

High Level Plenary Panel – Adaptation modelling and assessment

Moderator: Paul Watkiss, PWA

Carlo Buontempo, ECMWF – European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

Copernicus Climate Change Service

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Blaz Kurnik, EEA – European Environment Agency

Assessing climate risks and monitoring adaptation progress

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Luc Feyen, JRC – Joint Research Centre

Adaptation study in PESETA and beyond

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Zintis Hermansons, ESPON European Grouping of Territorial Cooperation

Climate change adaptation modelling at the ESPON

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THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 10TH, 2020

10.00 – 11.30

Study on Climate Adaptation Modelling (DG CLIMA)

Moderator: Francesco Bosello, Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change

Francesco Bosello, Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change

Project overview and key component

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Rhian Ebrey, Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit

Desk review and gap analysis

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Enrico Scoccimarro, Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change

Recommended approach to analysis

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Ad Jeuken, Deltares

Use case and case studies and rapid assessment

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11.45 – 13.00

Presentation of use cases and related case studies followed by discussion

Adaptation modelling for European policies and investments

Kees van Ginkel, Deltares

Climate impact on Road networks

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Umit Taner, Deltares

World Bank decision tree framework

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Rob Wilby, University of Loughborough

Tools for climate resilient investments

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Philip Ward, Institute for Environmental Studies

Acqueduct tools for global analyses

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11.45 – 13.00

Adaptation modelling for regional and urban adaptation

Judith ter Maat, Deltares

Water allocation and distribution for the Rhine

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Dionisio Perez Blanco, University of Salamanca and CMCC

Hydro micro-macroeconomic modeling for agricultural decision making

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Hasse Goosen, Climate Adaptation Services

Tools for climate stress testing in the Netherlands

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Ambika Markanday, Basque Centre for Climate Change

RESIN tools: the adaptation options library

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11.45 – 13.00

Adaptation modelling for the private sector and insurance

Wouter Botzen, Institute for Environmental Studies

Flood Insurance models

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Craig Davies, EBRD

Integrating physical climate risk into the supervision of financial markets

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Nico Kroener, South Pole

Application of climate risk tools for companies

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Gerhard Mulder, Climate Risk Services

Applications of climate risk tools in the financial sector

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16.00 – 17.30

Summary of the lessons learned and conclusions

Moderator: Paul Watkiss, PWA

Francesco Bosello, Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change

Marleen de Ruiter, Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit

Enrico Scoccimarro, Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change

Ad Jeuken, Deltares

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