Questo evento è disponibile solo in lingua inglese

This seminar has been scheduled at CMCC/INGV in Bologna, via Franceschini 31 (Auditorium – h 14.30).

Lecturer
Barbara Casati
Joint Working Group in Forecast Verification Research (WMO/WWRP)

ABSTRACT
Weather forecast verification and climate model evaluation are fundamental components of the development and application of environmental prediction systems.
For example, process-based and physically meaningful verification diagnostics can provide guidance for model improvements, and robust and informative verification metrics are in demand to monitor progress and enable comparisons of different systems. Moreover, specific information on the strengths and weaknesses of the models can be valuable for forecast/projection end-users and decision-makers, to make optimal use of the forecast and/or climate projections, in responding, as an example, to a high-impact weather warning, or in planning a climate adaptation strategy. The past decade has witnessed the blooming of several novel techniques for weather forecast verification and metrics for climate model evaluation. Despite being developed to address the needs of specific (weather or climate) applications, many of these techniques can be envisioned and adapted to serve in a multi-disciplinary weather and climate context. This presentation reviews some of the recently developed statistical approaches for weather forecast verification (with main focus on extremes and spatial verification methods) with the hope of being inspirational and enhance scientific exchange and synergies between the weather and climate community.