AGILE is a project funded by HORIZON RIA (Research and Innovation Action) aiming at designing, developing and applying a holistic methodological framework and practical tools for understanding, assessing, managing and communicating High Impact Low Probability (HILP) events with a systemic risk and resilience perspective.
General aims
AGILE overall objective is to improve the management of HILP by combining and integrating a wide range of established and innovative methodologies into a novel and replicable risk and resilience stress testing methodology.
AGILE has the following specific objectives:
- Conceptualise and analyse HILP events and build a broad, multi-disciplinary knowledge base for their implementation in Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and Disaster Risk Management (DRM);
- Co-develop a novel and scalable methodology for tiered risk and resilience stress tests (STs) with DRM practitioners and other key stakeholders;
- Enable European and international DRM practitioners in identifying common point of failures in typical HILP risk patterns through the co-development, implementation and evaluation of tiered risk and resilience STs.
CMCC role
In the framework of AGILE project, CMCC will be the leader of task 3.4 (Tier 3 Risk and Resilience Stress testing Methodology) and task 4.4 (implementation of risk and resilience Stress Test Tier 3 – STT3 – in two pilot areas, namely Venice and Iceland), while contributing also to WP 1, 2, 4 and 6.
Activities
AGILE is structured in 7 WP:
- Conceptualizing HILP as concurrent, cascading and systemic events
- Multi-disciplinary HILP reference library
- Risk and resilience stress-test implementations
- Scenario development and stress-test implementation
- Evidence-based planning, capacity building and risk communication
- High impact creation – dissemination, communication and exploitation
- Project coordination and management
Expected results
AGILE expected results are the following:
- Analysis of previous HILP events and their impacts across Europe, Asia and North America;
- Methodologies for risk and resilience STs;
- Co-design of HILP scenarios through stakeholder-oriented workshops;
- Case studies and analysis of mitigation measures.
Partners
Ministeriul Afacerilor Interne (DSU), Romania
National Commissioner of the Icelandic Police (IDCP), Iceland
Agencia de energia e ambiente de Arrabida (ENA), Portugal
G.E. Pukhov Institute for modeling in energy engineering of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine (PIMEE), Ukraine
Veiligheidsregio Rotterdam-Rijnmond (VRR), Netherlands
Gemeente Rotterdam (COR), Netherlands
PPI – Prepared International Ug (Haftungbeschrankt) (PPI), Germany
University College London (UCL), United Kingdom
Technische Universiteit Delft (TUD), Netherlands
Fondazione Centro euro-mediterraneo sui cambiamenti climatici (CMCC), Italy
Factor social – consultoria em psico-sociologia e ambiente lda (FS), Portugal
University of Hawaii (PDC), United States
Arttic Innovation gmbh (ARTTIC), Germany