A high-resolution ensemble of global projections of storm surges and waves

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A high-resolution ensemble of global projections of storm surges and waves

A high-resolution ensemble of global projections of storm surges and waves project aims to develop high-resolution global projections of extreme sea levels. Using cutting-edge numerical models and climate data from CMIP6, this research will assess the impact of climate change on storm surges and wave patterns across the world’s coastlines.By simulating multiple socioeconomic pathways scenarios, the project will provide critical insights for coastal risk assessment, adaptation strategies, and policy-making.

Durata
9 months da 09/06/2024 a 06/06/2025
Funded by
  • JRC - Joint Research Center - European Commission

Coordinating organization
  • CMCC - Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici

CMCC Scientific Leader
CMCC Project manager
CMCC Institutes

CMCC Divisions

General aims

The project employs a high-resolution coupled ocean circulation-wave model on unstructured meshes, integrating wave-current interactions, and has been validated with ERA5 data. Simulations will use 10 ISIMIP climate models across fivescenarios (SSP1-1.9 to SSP5-8.5), spanning 2016–2100, with a 1980–2015 baseline. Each model undergoes 460 simulation years, ensuring a comprehensive assessment of future extreme sea levels to support climate adaptation strategies.

Partners
UNIBO

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