A Diachronic Assessment of Advances in Seasonal Forecasting: Evolution of the APCC Multi-Model Ensemble Prediction System Over the Last Two Decades
2025, Geophysical Research Letters, doi: 10.1029/2025GL116416
Filtering by: Climate Variability and Prediction Division
Predictability of temperature extremes in multi-annual forecasts
Tsartsali E.E., Yeager S.G., Athanasiadis P., Tibaldi S., Gualdi S.
2025, Environmental Research Letters, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/adfa3c
Ocean-atmosphere feedbacks key to NAO decadal predictability
Patrizio C., Athanasiadis P., Smith D.M.,Nicolì D.
2025, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science volume, doi: 10.1038/s41612-025-01027-7
The Effect of Increasing Model Resolution on the Northern Hemisphere Winter Midlatitude Storm Track: An Equatorward Shift due to Contraction of the Hadley Cell
Lockwood J.F., Athanasiadis P., Baker A.J., Hodges K., Priestley M.D.K., Roberts M., Scaife A.A., Vidale P.-L., Zappa G.
2025, Journal of Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0414.1
Variability of SST through Koopman Modes
Navarra A., Tribbia J., Klus S., Lorenzo Sanchez P.
2025, Journal of Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0335.1
Defining Medicanes: Bridging the Knowledge Gap Between Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones in the Mediterranean
Miglietta M.M., Flaounas E., González-Alemán J.J., Panegrossi G., Gaertner M.A., Pantillon F., Pasquero C., Schultz D.M., D’Adderio L.P., Dafis S., Husson R., Ricchi A., Carrió Carrió D.S., Davolio S., Fita L., Picornell M.A., Pytharoulis I., Raveh-Rubin S., Scoccimarro E., Bernini L., Cavicchia L., et al.
2025, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0289.1
AdriE: a high-resolution ocean model ensemble for the Adriatic Sea under severe climate change conditions
Bonaldo D., Carniel S., Colucci R.R., Denamiel C., Pranić P., Raicich F., Ricchi A., Sangelantoni L., Vilibić I., Vitelletti M.L.
2025, Ocean Science, doi: 10.5194/os-21-1003-2025
Mediterranean summer marine heatwaves triggered by weaker winds under subtropical ridges
Bonino G., McAdam R., Athanasiadis P., Cavicchia L., Rodrigues R.R., Scoccimarro E., Tibaldi S., Masina S.
2025, nature geoscience, doi: 10.1038/s41561-025-01762-9
Detection and attribution of heat waves with the Multivariate Autoencoder Flow-Analogue Method (MvAE-AM)
Marina C. M., Pérez-Aracil J., McAdam R., Lorente-Ramos E., Luther N., Zorita E., Scoccimarro E., Luterbacher J., Xoplaki E., Salcedo-Sanz S.
2025, Atmospheric Research, doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.108409
Identifying key drivers of heatwaves: A novel spatio-temporal framework for extreme event detection
Pérez-Aracil J., Peláez-Rodríguez C., McAdam R., Squintu A., Marina C.M., Lorente-Ramos E., Luther N., Torralba V., Scoccimarro E., Cavicchia L., Giuliani M., [...]Castelletti A. , Salcedo-Sanz S.
2025, Weather and Climate Extremes, doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2025.100792