This research area aims at identifying, understanding, and quantifying the factors that drive climate change, particularly the emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) of land-based sectors. It analyses the impact of natural to seminatural land cover/use and human managed systems and production chains (agri-food sector, forestry industry, rural to urban settings) on the carbone cycle. Advanced tools such as modeling and monitoring technologies, including Earth Observation, are used to track and predict emissions from diverse sources, finally identifying effective strategies to mitigate climate change.

This research area explores the effects of changing climate trends, variability and extreme on natural, seminatural and fully managed (terrestrial and aquatic, inland to coastal) ecosystems. Data-driven to physically based to hybrid techniques are exploited. This enhances past to future simulations of ecosystem dynamics under coupled climate, land use, and socioeconomic drivers. Outcomes inform ecosystem services, biodiversity, and environmental health assessments, supporting proactive policy and adaptation strategies and plans.

This research area investigates and adopt cutting-edge approaches, integrating physical modeling with data-driven techniques and continuous monitoring, including Earth Observation, to reproduce the impact of long to short term climate regime on human environments and systems (urban areas, infrastructure). Through a co-design process, key stakeholders are actively engaged, tailoring solutions to specific sectors and contexts. This advances traditional impact analysis towards a more comprehensive and robust decision-making.

This research area examines the economic and social impacts of climate related slow and rapid onset events, focusing on both the costs and the broader effects on communities and social structures. Disruptions in key sectors like agriculture, infrastructure, and insurance are quantified, while also exploring how climate risks intensify social inequalities, disrupt livelihoods, and drive choices and decisions. It offers policy recommendations to enhance resilience in the context of broader sustainable development.

Downscaling and bias-correction are key for reliable climate forecasts and projections, especially in orography and land-use complex regions. This research area combines numerical approaches based on limited-area modelling, statistical methods, artificial intelligence, and satellite to in-situ data to develop models, run simulations and deliver data at very fine spatial resolution (km and finer) and time step (sub-hourly). Capturing very detailed dynamics in climate trends, variability and extremes better support climate-informed decisions.

This research area quantifies – from downscaled climate projections and/or observations – short to long term, rapid to slow onset, climate-related hazards such as meteorological, agroecological and hydrological droughts, pluvial floods, windstorms and hailstorms, wildfires. Simple to compound indices or indicators are adopted, and then hazards analyzed through methods spanning from physical, to data-driven to hybrid techniques. This supports operational to strategical planning horizons to reduce climate-driven impacts and risks for natural to human systems.

This research area develops adaptive climate risk assessment frameworks that address both single and compound risks. Besides traditional approaches, an innovative concept is the “multi-risk”, examining how different hazards interact and amplify one another, leading to cascading impacts on ecosystems, communities, and economies. By integrating Artificial Intelligence and data analytics, more precise and timely assessments are provided, vital to boost resilience and inform effective climate risk policies.

This research area explores how to improve the interaction between research and the needs of policymakers, stakeholders, and society to address the intricated challenges of climate and sustainable development. It aims at delivering innovative tools, participatory processes and methods to facilitate communication, collaboration between scientists and users for more science driven decision-making. This in the way towards mainstreaming the integration among resilience and sustainable development and support for strategical planning.

This research area develops advanced information services to support risk reduction, adaptation and mitigation choices. Observed and simulated data – from climate to impact to risk assessments – are integrated with techniques for data management, enhancement and customization. Information will be accessible through platforms – in the form of Decision Support Tools or Systems – with tailored interfaces, enabling users to respond to evolving contexts, bringing tangible impacts. Analyses to foster climate services uptake, transformative services and business innovation are also provided.

This research area examines how innovative policies, governance structures, and community practices can be designed to foster climate resilience. It investigates adaptive governance and risk management frameworks that promote cross-sectoral and cross-regional collaboration in the face of complex, interconnected risks and new ways to empower local communities with participatory decision-making, enhancing both risk preparedness and prevention.

This research area addresses the climate proofing design of built environment and land-use planning, which necessitate systemic approaches exploiting grey, green and blue adaptation measures to integrate climate resilience with socio-economic and environmental benefits. It requires updating and improving the current knowledge on structures and materials, procedures and standards, overcoming a siloed approach and promoting interdisciplinary collaboration with the goal of fostering behavioral transformation and societal acceptance.

This research area centers on understanding and enhancing the governance systems – formal and informal – that shape society’s capacity to manage climate risks and adapt to climate change. It focuses on analyzing policy effectiveness, stakeholder engagement, regulatory frameworks, and monitoring systems to comprehend and improve governance models. It aims to develop adaptable and resilient pathways that support more sustainable adaptation at local, national, and global levels.

This research area explores how societal acceptance of new policies, practices and technologies can be encouraged through incentives and understanding of public perceptions. It involves the application of computational social sciences to analyze psychological, social, and cultural factors influencing individuals’ and communities’ risk and adaptation behaviors. With a focus on a just transition, it aims to ensure that shifts toward sustainability are equitable and inclusive.

This research area examines how diverse financing and investment strategies, including insurance, Nature-Based Solution (NBS) funding, and public-private partnerships, can be designed to strengthen resilience, incentivize adaptation and foster climate-focused business innovation (e.g., green technologies, sustainable agriculture).