This study, conducted by the CMCC Foundation, analyses the potential impact of climate change on maximum precipitation values in the area of Rome Fiumicino International Airport “Leonardo da Vinci.” To this end, the rainfall probability curve has been updated estimating the expected variations for the period 2021-2050 using climate simulations from the EURO-CORDEX initiative based on the CMIP5 scenarios. The methodological approach adequately integrates EURO-CORDEX permitting quantifying uncertainties and providing detailed information for hydraulic risk management. This work is part of a broader climate change adaptation framework, offering valuable data for designing resilient infrastructure and strategic water resource planning.
4 months from 17/05/2024 to 17/09/2024
General aims
The objective of the project is to support ADR in the assessment of hydraulic hazards. This research activity will enable the refinement of the algorithm behind the rainfall probability curves to support the assessment of hydraulic hazard on critical infrastructures, considering the increase in extreme precipitation events.
CMCC role
CMCC’s role is to support Aeroporti di Roma (ADR) providing scientific and methodological expertise to update risk analyses and improve the resilience of infrastructures to climate change impacts. CMCC is also committed to promoting the innovation of the results achieved through the dissemination of knowledge and participation in industry events.
Activities
The hydraulic model of Fiumicino Airport will be updated by analysing the evolution of IDF curves based on projected climate changes, aiming to optimise the management of hydraulic risks.
Expected results
The expected outcomes of the project are aimed at strengthening Aeroporti di Roma’s (ADR) ability to manage climate risk for airport infrastructures. CMCC will provide scientific and methodological support to update and improve hydraulic hazard analyses, with a particular focus on the impacts of extreme precipitation resulting from climate change. Additionally, the results will contribute to enhancing the resilience of airport infrastructures, promoting the development of targeted adaptation strategies.