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UNITES: Uncertainty Integration for a Transition in Energy and Sustainability

Geopolitical and socio-economic uncertainties are putting the European and Global energy transitions at stake. These deep uncertainties affect the analytical assessments underpinning energy and climate policies. For example, the models used to inform energy planning rely on uncertain forecasts and assumptions for future energy demands, macroeconomic indicators, social acceptance, fuel prices, technology costs, and climate scenarios. Due to fundamental methodological, computational, and data challenges, this uncertainty is at best rarely considered in energy planning, which increases the risk of failing to meet our urgent climate targets. This makes accounting for uncertainty one of the major unsolved problems in energy planning. UNITES addresses these limitations to enable a new paradigm for long-term energy planning. In contrast to current approaches, which try to accurately predict the future, UNITES’ ambition is a systematic integration of uncertainty in energy-climate models.


UPTAKE: Bridging current knowledge gaps to enable the UPTAKE of carbon dioxide removal methods

UPTAKE aims to facilitate the sustainable upscaling of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) methods by developing a set of robust strategies through technical, theoretical, and practical analysis accompanied by interactive dialogue within a CDR stakeholder forum. As a result, UPTAKE will develop a harmonised, comprehensive, inclusive, integrated, and transparent CDR knowledge inventory to evaluate a wide range of CDR technologies and methods, quantifying their national, European, and global costs, effectiveness, and removal potential as well as risks, constraints, and side-effects at different scales, and their prospects of technological progress. The UPTAKE approach will allow the assessment of geographical, sectoral, socioeconomic, demographic, and temporal trade-offs, co-benefits, and opportunities emerging from portfolios of different CDR methods. The enhanced socio-technical understanding of CDR methods will feed into an ensemble of state-of-the-art integrated assessment models (IAMs), which will help improve the integration of CDR methods given the EU policy objectives set for 2030, 2050, and beyond climate neutrality. UPTAKE will assess CDR governance and policy frameworks considering social acceptance, accountability, monitoring, and regulations for sustainable CDR rollout at scale. As a result, UPTAKE will generate an open and interactive CDR roadmap explorer to investigate strategies that are resilient to risks of failure and disruption, and minimise adverse impacts on society, economy, and the environment, aiming for a just, inclusive, and sustainable transition.


VALORADA – Validated Local Risk Actionable Data for Adaptation

The EU aims to transforming 150 European regions into sustainable and climate resilient regions by 2030. VALORADA contributes to addressing this challenge by co-developing tested FAIR customizable data-manipulation tools to access available climate datasets and to enable the sharing, community validation and use of locally socioeconomic, demographic and Earth-Observation data. In a rigorous transdisciplinary approach, the respective risks of climate change are analyzed in five demonstrators in Europe with the local actors. Data required for the analysis are compiled from the various already existing repositories (e.g., Climate Data Store) and locally sourced non-climate data catalogues processed by local communities and regions, prototype analysis tools developed in an iterative process, tested by the actors and subsequently improved.


VIVERACQUA: Climatic hazard evaluation to support VIVERACQUA Water Utilities Consortium and AcegasApsAmga

The main aim of the Project is to support water utilities in a proper assessment of expected variation in weather-induced hazards due to climate change. Furthermore, the collaboration has the goal to provide a clear picture about how planning tools at different levels deal with water resources issues. Finally, the collaboration between CMCC and water utilities will pave the way to further research aimed at properly quantify climatic risk and to make the assets climate-proofing


WeatherGenerator

The project will build the WeatherGenerator – the world’s best generative Foundation Model of the Earth system – that will serve as a new Digital Twin for Destination Earth. The WeatherGenerator will be based on representation learning and create a general and versatile tool that models the dynamics of the Earth system based on a large variety of Earth system data. The WeatherGenerator will be task-independent and will improve results for a wide range of machine learning applications when compared to task specific machine learning tools. It will also be more resilient for climate applications when the underlying data distributions are changing, and it will lead to a significant reduction in computational costs and faster turnaround times. To achieve this, the project will: (1) Collect and use the most important datasets of Earth system science including data from Digital Twins of Destination Earth, selected observations, analysis and reanalysis datasets, and output of conventional Earth system models. (2) Build the WeatherGenerator as a novel representation learning- based machine learning tool that exploits the full potential of Europe’s largest supercomputers. (3) Engage with the wider community via services and apply the WeatherGenerator for 22 selected applications that can be integrated into the Destination Earth framework. The applications include global and local predictions, local downscaling, data assimilation, model post-processing, and impact applications in the domains of renewable energy, water, health and food. The project consortium that will build the WeatherGenerator consists of experts in machine learning, supercomputing and Earth system sciences, and includes


WEC – Wat-Ener-Cast

Wat-Ener-Cast will provide an easy access to high quality forecasts (predictions and scenarios) suited in risk assessment dashboards for operational decisions.


WF-PRAF | Development of a specific wildfire prevention and preparadness Peer Review Assessment Framework

Wildfires are among the key risks with cross-border dimension identified in National Risk Assessments by Member States (MS) and Participating States (PS) to the Union Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM). One of the actions of EU Wildfire Prevention Action Plan, currently under definition, is to assist countries in strengthening capacity building through targeted UCPM peer reviews on wildfire prevention and preparedness. The purpose of this project is to develop a specific wildfire prevention and preparedness Peer Review Assessment Framework. 


WINDSURFER – WIND and wave Scenarios, Uncertainty and climate Risk assessments for Forestry, Energy and Reinsurance

Extreme winds pose major risks to life, property and forestry, while extreme ocean waves can impact on offshore infrastructures and coastal communities. WINDSURFER is a 3-year project that will bring together eight leading research institutions across Europe to co-develop new methods, tools and assessments of extreme wind and wave risk with a focus on the Insurance, Forestry and Energy sectors.


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